What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – June 12, 2023

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - June 12, 2023

Last week’s scheduled economic news included results from Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey and weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

Fannie Mae Survey Shows Lower Home Buyer Confidence in May

Fannie Mae reported lower home buyer confidence in housing market conditions in May. High home prices and rising mortgage rates challenged prospective home buyers while providing favorable conditions for sellers. 65 percent of consumers surveyed for Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index believed that it was a good time to sell their homes as compared to 62 percent of consumers surveyed in April. This was the highest consumer sentiment reading posted for the Home Purchase Sentiment Index since July 2022.

Mr. Mark Palim, a Fannie Mae Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist said: “Consumers also indicated that they didn’t expect affordability constraints to improve in the near future.”  81 percent of renters surveyed believed that it would be difficult to get a mortgage today.

Mortgage Rates Fall, Jobless Claims Rise

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week after three consecutive weeks of rising rates. The average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by eight basis points to 6.71 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.07 percent and 11 basis points lower.

Jobless claims rose with 261,000 initial jobless claims filed as compared to the expected reading of 236,000 first-time claims filed and the previous week’s reading of 233,000 filings.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic news includes The Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee Statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s scheduled press conference. The University of Michigan will release its monthly reading on consumer sentiment and weekly readings on mortgage rates and first-time jobless claims will also be released.

Will Pre-Approval for a Mortgage Hurt My Credit Score?

Will Pre-Approval for a Mortgage Hurt My Credit Score?Obtaining a pre-approval for a mortgage is an important step when you’re planning to buy a home. It gives you an idea of how much you can afford, helps streamline the home-buying process, and strengthens your position as a serious buyer. However, many people worry that the pre-approval process might negatively impact their credit score. In this blog post, we’ll dive into the details to determine whether or not a pre-approval for a mortgage will hurt your credit.

Understanding Credit Inquiries

To understand how pre-approval affects your credit, we need to discuss credit inquiries. When you apply for credit, such as a loan or credit card, the lender typically pulls your credit report to assess your creditworthiness. These inquiries are categorized as either “hard” or “soft.”

Hard Inquiries: A hard inquiry occurs when you apply for credit, and it can impact your credit score. These inquiries are visible to other lenders and may suggest that you’re actively seeking credit.

Soft Inquiries: A soft inquiry, on the other hand, doesn’t affect your credit score. These inquiries occur when you check your own credit report or when a lender pre-approves you without your explicit consent.

Pre-Approval and Credit Inquiries

When it comes to mortgage pre-approvals, most lenders perform a hard inquiry to assess your creditworthiness accurately. While this hard inquiry might have a temporary impact on your credit score, the impact is typically minimal. Generally, a single hard inquiry will only result in a small dip in your score, typically around five points or less. The credit bureaus understand that consumers may shop around for the best mortgage terms and account for this in their scoring models.

The Logic Behind Credit Scoring

Credit scoring models are designed to account for consumer behavior related to loans and credit applications. They recognize that it’s normal for individuals to shop around for the best rates and terms when seeking a mortgage. To encourage this behavior, credit scoring models treat multiple mortgage inquiries made within a certain time frame (usually 30 days) as a single inquiry. This means that even if you get pre-approved by multiple lenders within that timeframe, it will be considered a single inquiry when calculating your credit score.

While a pre-approval for a mortgage may result in a temporary dip in your credit score due to the hard inquiry, it’s generally a small and short-lived effect. The benefits of obtaining a pre-approval, such as understanding your budget and strengthening your position as a buyer, far outweigh any minor impact on your credit score.

To minimize any potential negative impact on your credit score during the mortgage pre-approval process, consider the following tips:

Do your research: Before applying for a pre-approval, research lenders and their qualification criteria. Focus on a select few lenders who are likely to meet your needs to minimize the number of credit inquiries.

Time your applications: If possible, try to complete all your mortgage pre-approval applications within a short time frame, such as 30 days. This way, the credit bureaus will consider them as a single inquiry.

Monitor your credit: Regularly monitor your credit report to ensure accuracy and identify any potential issues. You can obtain one free credit report per year from each of the three major credit bureaus.

In most cases, the impact of a mortgage pre-approval on your credit score is minimal and short-lived. While the initial hard inquiry may result in a small dip in your score, credit scoring models are designed to account for shopping around for the best mortgage terms. The long-term benefits of obtaining a pre-approval far outweigh any minor impact on

What You Need To Know About Your Home Appraisal And Your Mortgage

What You Need To Know About Your Home Appraisal And Your MortgageWhen buying a home, there are certain steps a buyer should go through before the home sale is official. First the buyer makes the offer, then the offer is accepted.

Next the buyer schedules the inspection and home appraisal. Finally, everyone is ready for closing.

It’s easy to overlook the impact of some of these steps, but when it comes to a mortgage, the home appraisal is actually quite important. Banks want to see that they are lending money for an investment that is worthwhile, so that appraisal is a crucial step to getting financing. Here is what buyers need to know about how the appraisal could affect their mortgages.

Understanding The Home Appraisal Process

The home appraisal gives a home valuation expert the chance to evaluate the home a buyer’s considering to determine its market value. Home appraisers are highly trained, state-licensed professionals that know how to evaluate homes and assign value to them.

The appraiser will use various approaches to determine the final appraised value. The appraisal typically happens after an offer on the home was approved but before the lender loans the money.

The Appraisal And Mortgage Approval

The appraisal is one factor that a mortgage lender considers when deciding whether or not to approve a final loan request. Even if a borrower had preapproval, a low appraisal could cause the mortgage to fall through.

Why is this? A lender only wants to lend enough to cover what the home’s actual value, and if the appraisal comes in lower than what the borrower is asking for, the lender can deny the loan.

If the lender does not deny the loan completely, they may refuse to lend more than the home’s value. In order to buy the home at the agreed price, the buyer may need to come up with the difference in cash at closing.

What Can Buyers Do If The Appraisal Is Low?

If an appraisal comes in low on the home someone wishes to buy, the buyer shouldn’t panic. It is possible to get a new appraisal at a higher value.

First, consider the condition of the home. Did the seller let some things fall into disrepair? If the seller fixes those items, a new appraisal may be higher.

Does the home look rundown or cluttered? This shouldn’t affect the appraisal, but it can sometimes cause the appraiser to trend lower. Sometimes, simply asking for a second opinion might get a slightly different appraised value.  That said, if the appraisal is low, make sure to evaluate the purchase price. Is it in line with current market conditions and the overall condition of the home?

If the answer to that question is no, then the offer may be too much for the home. The appraisal, in this case, gives the buyer the opportunity to reevaluate the purchase decision.

When it comes to mortgage approval, the appraisal is one of the critical steps in the process. If a buyer has shopped wisely, the home should pass with flying colors, and soon the home sale process will be over.  As always, your trusted mortgage professional is the best resource for appraisal information in your local market.

Most Renters Are Paying Far More Than Their Landlord’s Mortgage

Most Renters Are Paying Far More Than Their Landlord's MortgageIt is not uncommon for renters to pay more in rent than their landlord’s mortgage payment. This is because landlords are typically looking to make a profit on their rental properties, and they will often set their rent prices based on market rates rather than the cost of their mortgage.

There are several reasons why renters often pay more than a mortgage payment:

Renters are not building equity: When you make a mortgage payment, you are building equity in your home. Equity is the value of your home that you actually own. As you pay down your mortgage, you own more and more of your home. Renters, on the other hand, are not building equity in their homes. They are simply paying for the use of the property.

Renters don’t get tax benefits: Homeowners can deduct their mortgage interest and property taxes from their income taxes, which can save them a significant amount of money. Renters, on the other hand, do not get these tax benefits.

Landlords have to cover maintenance costs: When you rent a property, the landlord is responsible for maintenance and repairs. This includes everything from fixing a leaky faucet to replacing a roof. These costs are factored into the rent payment, so renters end up paying for these expenses indirectly.

Supply and demand: Depending on the area and the rental market, there may be more demand for rental properties than there is supply. This can drive up rental prices, making them higher than mortgage payments.

Location: In some areas, it may simply be more expensive to rent than it is to buy a home. This can be due to a variety of factors, such as high demand, limited supply, or a desirable location.

Overall, there are many factors that can contribute to renters paying more than a mortgage payment. It’s important to note that while renters may feel like they are paying more than their landlord’s mortgage, they are also benefiting from the convenience and flexibility of renting. Renters typically do not have to worry about property maintenance or repair costs, and they have the ability to move more easily than homeowners. Renting can still be a good choice for some people, depending on their financial situation and lifestyle.

S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Show Mixed Readings in March

S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Show Mixed Readings in MarchMarch readings for the S&P Case-Shiller National Home Price Index showed that month-to-month home prices rose by 0.40 percent in March. The 20-City Home Price Index, which is considered a benchmark indicator by U.S. real estate professionals, rose by 0.50 percent month-to-month in March but posted a negative reading of -1.10 percent year-over-year. Analysts said that the slim supply of homes for sale drove up prices as demand for homes exceeded available inventory.

Homeowners took a “wait and see” position as mortgage rates rose and concerns over the economy persisted. Those who refinanced their mortgages to low rates during the pandemic weren’t looking to buy new homes or refinance at current mortgage rates near seven percent. Prospective homebuyers faced affordability challenges and concerns over buying at the top of their local real estate markets.

Southeast leads the  U.S. in home price growth

U.S. home price growth dominated the S&P Case-Shillere 20-City Home Price Index in March; the top three cities reporting the highest year-over-year home price appreciation rates were Miami, Florida with 7.7 percent growth. Tampa, Florida reported 4.8 percent home price growth and Charlotte, North Carolina held third place with 4.7 percent year-over-year home price growth.

The Western region continued to lag as year-over-year home prices fell by -1.10 percent from March 2022 to March 2023 as compared with 0.40 percent year-over-year growth in February. Data included in S&P Case-Shiller readings are seasonally adjusted. All 20 cities reported home price gains on a month-to-month basis, which indicates that housing prices continue to recover from the lows that occurred during the pandemic. Home prices will indicate further developments in the economic recovery based on how home prices and sales perform during the typically busy summer home-buying season. 

FHFA reports 3.6 percent year-over-year home price growth in March

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees government-sponsored mortgage enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reported 3.6 percent seasonally-adjusted year-over-year growth in home prices for U.S.  properties owned and sold by the two government-sponsored organizations. FHFA reported regional home price growth rates for the nine U.S. Census divisions; month-to-month results ranged from -10 percent in the Pacific division to 1.20 percent growth in the Mountain division. 

Does My Current Debt Affect Getting A New Mortgage?

Does My Current Debt Affect Getting A New MortgageWhen you apply for a new mortgage, the lender will evaluate your creditworthiness to determine whether to approve your application and what terms and interest rate to offer you. Your existing debt can affect your creditworthiness in several ways:

Debt-to-income ratio (DTI): Your DTI ratio is the percentage of your monthly income that goes towards paying off debt. Lenders typically want to see a DTI ratio of 43% or less, meaning your debt payments don’t exceed 43% of your gross monthly income. If your existing debt is high, your DTI ratio will be high, and lenders may view you as a riskier borrower. This can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

Credit score: Your credit score is a numerical representation of your creditworthiness, based on your credit history. If you have existing debt and have been making late payments or defaulting on payments, your credit score may have taken a hit. This can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

Payment history: Your payment history is a record of how consistently you have made payments on your existing debt. If you have a history of late payments or defaulting on payments, this can signal to lenders that you may be a riskier borrower, which can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

Available funds for down payment: If you have existing debt, you may not have as much money available for a down payment on a new mortgage. This can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

Overall debt load: Lenders will also consider your overall debt load when evaluating your creditworthiness. If your existing debt is high relative to your income and assets, this can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

In summary, your existing debt can affect your ability to qualify for a new mortgage by increasing your DTI ratio, lowering your credit score, affecting your payment history, limiting your funds for a down payment, and increasing your overall debt load.

It’s important to manage your debt carefully and maintain a good credit score if you’re planning to apply for a new mortgage. By evaluating the following and staying on track, you can ensure that you’re ready for the financial responsibilities of a mortgage and can make an informed decision about homeownership.

An Overview Of Mortgage Points

An Overview Of Mortgage PointsMortgage points, also known as discount points or origination points, are fees paid by borrowers at closing to reduce the interest rate on their mortgage loan. Each point typically costs 1% of the total loan amount and can lower the interest rate by anywhere from 0.125% to 0.25%.

There are two types of mortgage points: discount points and origination points. Discount points are used to buy down the interest rate on the loan, while origination points are used to cover the lender’s administrative costs.

Borrowers may choose to pay mortgage points in order to lower their monthly mortgage payments or to reduce the overall amount of interest paid over the life of the loan. However, paying points may not always be the best financial decision, as it depends on factors such as the borrower’s financial situation, the length of time they plan to stay in the home, and the current interest rate environment.

It is important for borrowers to carefully consider the costs and benefits of paying mortgage points, and to compare offers from multiple lenders to ensure they are getting the best deal possible.

When to Use Mortgage Points

Mortgage points can be used by borrowers to lower the interest rate on their mortgage loan and potentially save money on interest over the life of the loan. However, whether or not it makes sense to pay mortgage points depends on a variety of factors, including the borrower’s financial situation, the length of time they plan to stay in the home, and the current interest rate environment.

Here are a few situations where it may make sense to use mortgage points:

  • Long-term homeownership: If a borrower plans to stay in their home for a long period of time, paying mortgage points upfront to lower the interest rate could result in significant long-term savings.
  • High-interest rates: When interest rates are high, paying mortgage points may be a good strategy for reducing the interest rate and lowering monthly mortgage payments.
  • Large loan amounts: Borrowers with large loan amounts may benefit from paying mortgage points to reduce the interest rate and save money over the life of the loan.
  • Strong financial position: Borrowers with strong financial positions, including a high credit score and stable income, may be more likely to qualify for lower interest rates and may benefit from paying mortgage points to lower the rate even further.

The decision to pay mortgage points should be based on a careful analysis of your unique financial situation and goals and should take into account the costs and benefits of paying points compared to other options.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – May 30, 2023

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - May 29, 2023Last week’s economic news included readings on new and pending home sales and inflation. The final monthly reading for May consumer sentiment was released along with weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

Shortage of previously-owned homes for sale directs buyers to new homes

Homeowners weren’t in a hurry to sell their homes due to the low mortgage rates they obtained during the pandemic. Current mortgage rates are higher than pandemic-era rates, which influenced homeowners to stay in their homes and keep their lower existing mortgage rates. Home buyers turned to new home developments as an alternative to shopping for a home within the slim supply of available previously-owned homes.

The number of pending home sales was unchanged from March as compared to the expected reading of an 0.80 percent increase in pending sales and the March reading of a -5.20 percent decrease in pending home sales. Rising mortgage rates and concerns over the economy sidelined some sellers and would-be home buyers. Rising inflation continued to impact consumers as prices for goods and services rose by 0.40 percent in April as compared to the March increase of 0.10 percent. Year-over-year inflation rose to 4.40 percent in April as compared to the March year-over-year inflation reading of 4.20 percent. 

Consumer concerns about inflation and recession were supported by the government-sponsored mortgage organization  Fannie Mae, which predicted a recession in the second half of 2023.

Fed forecasts a recession and raises key interest rate range

The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting revealed that policymakers were divided on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision to raise its key interest-rate range to 5.00 percent and 5.25 percent. Some Fed members indicated that May’s interest rate hike may be the last for the near future as expectations of a recession rose. 

Mortgage rates and jobless claims rise

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 18 basis points to 6.57 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 22 basis points to 5.97 percent.

229,000 new jobless claims were filed last week; this reading fell short of the expected reading of 245,000 initial claims filed and exceeded the prior week’s reading of 225,000 claims filed.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on public and private-sector jobs and the national unemployment rate. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released. 

Understanding the Basic Interest Rates Difference Between Fixed and Variable

Understanding the Basic Interest Rates Difference Between Fixed and VariableHome loans are available in an assortment of lending packages, but the big difference that consumers need to pay attention to at a minimum is how the interest charge is calculated. Interest is the margin that represents the profit and risk offset for a lender financing a consumer’s home purchase.

With loans lasting over 30 to 40 years now, the amount of money that can be made can be two or three times the purchase value of the home involved. So it’s calculation method is important for the borrower.

A Fixed Rate

A fixed rated is one where the home loan interest rate does not change. So, if a person takes out a 30-year home loan with an interest rate of 5 percent, that interest rate charge per year will not change at any time during the 30 years of repayment. It provides stability for financial planning, especially for buyers who just want to pay the same payment monthly and not fuss about anything else.

A Variable Rate

A variable interest rate is one in which the interest on a home loan can change over time. The most frequent set up involves an introductory rate period where the interest rate on a 30 year loan is attractively low for the first one, three or five years. Then, if the loan is still in place, the interest rate may adjust up or down and starts to track an index, usually based on a stock or bond market. Then a “margin” is added to the index to determine the current mortgage interest rate.

The risk is whether that newly adjusted interest rate is higher than what was available previously as a fixed interest rate. The variable rate may work very well for those who only want to hold a home for a short period and then sell it for a profit. It can become a problem, however, if the loan is held longer than the change period when the variability kicks in with a market index.

Pros And Cons

The major advantage of a fixed loan is that is very straightforward, simple and can be refinanced years later if the market starts to offer much lower rates. That protects a consumer from fluctuating costs, especially when running a household on a set budget. However, the same formula is often more expensive in the first few years, especially if the home will only be owned for a few years.

The big advantage of the variable interest rate loan is realized by investors or those who only plan to stay in their home or home loan for a short period of time. Investors who think the real estate market will go up can make big profits with far less carrying costs in interest since variable rate loans often have a low introductory period. However, if they guess wrong or are forced to keep the loan longer than planned, the buyer could get stuck with a more expensive, fluctuating monthly loan payment.

Which one works best often depends on the buyer and his specific interests in a home purchase. Talk to your trusted mortgage professional today about interest rates to help you determine which option is best for you. 

Running A Quick Financial Health Check Before You Apply For A Mortgage

Running A Quick Financial Health Check Before You Apply For A Mortgage Getting a mortgage is a significant financial decision, and it is crucial to ensure that you are financially prepared before applying for one. Conducting a quick financial health check before applying for a mortgage can help you determine your financial standing and your ability to afford a mortgage payment.

Here are some reasons why you should consider conducting a quick financial health check before applying for a mortgage:

  1. Check your credit score: Your credit score is an important factor that lenders consider when deciding whether to approve your mortgage application. Check your credit score to see where you stand and take steps to improve it if necessary.
  2. Review your debt-to-income ratio: Lenders will also look at your debt-to-income ratio, which is the amount of debt you have compared to your income. If your debt-to-income ratio is too high, you may not be able to qualify for a mortgage. Try to pay down debt and increase your income to improve your debt-to-income ratio.
  3. Calculate your down payment: Most lenders require a down payment of at least 20% of the purchase price of the home. Calculate how much you’ll need for a down payment and make sure you have enough savings.
  4. Determine your monthly housing costs: Take a look at your monthly income and expenses to determine how much you can afford to spend on your mortgage payment, including property taxes and insurance. Make sure you’re comfortable with the monthly cost before applying for a mortgage.
  5. Get pre-approved for a mortgage: Once you’ve completed these steps, it’s a good idea to get pre-approved for a mortgage. This will give you an idea of how much you can borrow and the interest rate you’ll receive.

Conducting a quick financial health check before applying for a mortgage is a smart move. It can help you identify any financial issues, improve your mortgage eligibility, and ensure that you are prepared to take on the financial responsibilities of homeownership.

By following these steps, you’ll be able to quickly assess your financial health to increase your chances of being approved for the loan and determine whether you’re ready to apply for a mortgage.